The Lower Eastern Times Opening The Third Eye
Related Articles
Nearly half of Kenyans believe that former Prime Minister Raila Odinga will not back President William Ruto in the 2027 elections, according to a new TIFA poll.
Click here to join our WhatsApp Channel
The survey shows that 46% of respondents expect Raila to part ways with President Ruto and exit their current political alliance ahead of the next general election.
Of those, 28% think Raila will break ranks with Ruto and contest the presidency himself in 2027, while 18% believe he will defect from Ruto’s side but support a different opposition candidate.
The TIFA survey gauged public sentiment on the Broad-Based Government (BBG) initiative and its potential influence on the 2027 political climate.
The poll, conducted via telephone interviews between May 2 and May 6, 2025, covered 2,024 participants from nine regions: Central Rift, Coast, Lower Eastern, Mt. Kenya, Nairobi, Northern, Nyanza, South Rift, and Western. The margin of error is +/- 2.17%.
According to the findings, 38% of Kenyans expect Raila to support Ruto’s re-election bid, while 18% strongly reject that notion.
The report noted that even among BBG backers, more than one-third anticipate Raila will ultimately abandon the alliance and return to the opposition.
Specifically, 25% of BBG supporters foresee Raila severing ties with Ruto, compared to 13% who believe he will continue supporting the President.
Among BBG opponents, 53% predict Raila will shift back to the opposition, with 22% saying he will run for president and 31% expecting him to support another opposition figure.
