The Lower Eastern Times Opening The Third Eye
Related Articles
According to a five-day weather forecast released by the Kenya Meteorological Department, most parts of Kenya are currently facing dry spells accompanied by scorching temperatures.
In the highlands east of the Rift Valley, including counties like Nairobi, Embu, Meru, Kiambu, and Murang’a, temperatures may reach up to 38 degrees Celsius. Meanwhile, in Northwestern areas such as Samburu and Turkana counties, temperatures could soar even higher, with a maximum of 39 degrees Celsius projected.
While temperatures are expected to be warmer than usual across the country, some regions, including the South Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, and the Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley, may receive light to moderate rainfall.
The World Meteorological Organization reports that January was the hottest month on record, consistent with the trend observed throughout much of 2023, which was the hottest year in history.
Looking ahead, an upcoming forecast from the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (Igad) Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) anticipates specific weather conditions for March to May. Higher heat stress is expected across various regions, including eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and significant parts of South Sudan.
Dr. Cromwell Lukorito, a climate scientist at the University of Nairobi, explains that while the current hot spell may seem unusual, it is expected at this time of year due to various factors.
Regarding the intensity and duration of the hot spell, Dr. Lukorito notes that temperatures have been progressively increasing every decade, primarily due to global climate change. He also attributes the current weather conditions to local factors such as residual moisture from recent heavy rains, which enhances evaporation and contributes to a warming effect.
Dr. Lukorito emphasizes that while climate change drives long-term shifts in average climate conditions, climate variability involves natural fluctuations and short-term changes. He underscores the importance of considering both aspects in understanding extreme weather events.
As for the potential impacts of the hot weather, Dr. Lukorito expresses concerns about its adverse effects on agriculture, water resources, and human health. He predicts that the high temperatures may disrupt normal agricultural activities and impact water availability.
Regarding the duration of the hot weather, Dr. Lukorito suggests that temperatures will continue to rise until the onset of the long rains, which will help alleviate the heat. However, until then, Kenya and other regions globally are likely to experience persistently high temperatures.
