IEBC Offices. Image/File

Gen Z’s Vote Set to Shape 2027 Presidential Race

The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) has announced plans to register approximately 5.6 million new voters ahead of the 2027 general elections.

This figure highlights the significant voting bloc that presidential candidates will target, particularly as youth, often referred to as Gen Z, are expected to play a crucial role in the election.

IEBC’s voter registration efforts typically focus on individuals who have reached voting age since the last election. For the financial year starting July 1, the commission aims to register 2.27 million new voters, with a further 3.41 million in the subsequent year, bringing the total to 5.68 million new voters. If these targets are met, the total number of registered voters will rise to 27.8 million, up from 22.1 million in the 2022 election.

The final phase of registration will occur right before the 2027 elections, and analysts predict the youth vote will be pivotal, both in terms of social media influence and voting trends. Political expert Charles Munyui suggests that candidates who address the issues important to Gen Z will have an advantage. Politician Winnie Kaburu also emphasized the potential impact of the youth vote, although she raised concerns about the challenge of ensuring these young voters have national identity cards for registration.

Political figures, including Kalonzo Musyoka, Martha Karua, Fred Matiang’i, and Okiya Omtatah, are actively courting Gen Z voters, with Omtatah already receiving support from youth activists. Gen Z’s ability to mobilize through platforms like social media has already been demonstrated in various protests, and political analyst Javas Bigambo notes that the youth vote could determine the outcome of the elections, provided they turn out to vote.

In the 2022 election, voter turnout was 65%, significantly lower than the 80% turnout in 2017. Projections suggest that by 2027, eight million more young people will be eligible to vote, but the IEBC aims to register only 5.6 million, with concerns that as many as three million could be excluded.

Despite these plans, there are significant challenges. The IEBC has faced setbacks due to a lack of commissioners, with no new voter registrations conducted in 2023. Budget cuts and the absence of a fully constituted commission have further complicated preparations. A court ruling on January 25 may determine the future of the commission’s ability to appoint new members, which is critical for the upcoming elections. Additionally, financial constraints have limited the scope of voter registration efforts, with the cost of enrolling new voters averaging Sh1,000 each.

As the 2027 elections approach, the IEBC’s budget is strained, with only Sh4.2 billion allocated for voter registration and electoral operations in the coming financial year. Further challenges are expected due to funding limits, which could affect voter education, administrative activities, and election technology.

Check Also

Kang’ata: Why I’m Ditching Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance

Irungu Kang’ata has declared that he will not defend his Murang’a gubernatorial seat on a …